Matt Fargo
Matt has (1) Play Saturday.
After the Friday cancellation, Matt is back on Saturday with just one MLB report but it is a MASSIVE TOP PLAY backed by a SENSATIONAL 33-17 (66%) Power Situation!
With over 12 years of sports handicapping experience, my analysis, information and expert picks give you what you want.... winners! I’m not here claiming to be undefeated over the last 10 years and I’m not going to fill your head with any useless inside information, because it doesn't exist. I do my homework plain and simple and come up with the plays that give us the best chance of winning. When you win, we win. You will see that our angles, statistical analysis and handicapping approaches will make you a consistent winner. One of the most drawn on adages in sports handicapping is that it’s not a sprint, it’s a marathon. I cannot agree more. Consistency over the long haul is what every sports bettor should be interested in and that is what I provide. When the winning days outnumber the losing days by a large margin, I must be doing something right. Keep three things in mind when looking for sports service - Consistency, Honesty, and Integrity. You’ve found all three right here!
WNBA 39-29-1
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NFL 250-206-16
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Friday, July 30, 2010
Oakland Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox (MLB) - 8:10 PM EDT
Premium Play
Play: Money Line: 101 Chicago White Sox
Win
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The White Sox just completed a four-game home sweep of the Mariners to move to 13 games over .500 overall and 12 games over .500 at home and they are home underdogs here? The A’s dropped two of three in Texas to go to seven games under .500 on the road and they are road favorites here? You see my point as this line is based purely on the starting pitching and even that is not is that much in favor of Oakland in my opinion.
The sweep of the Mainers made it 11 straight home wins for Chicago as well as 18 of the last 19 and that is a streak you simply cannot go against.
Oakland sends Brett Anderson to the mound for his first Major League start since June 3rd as has been out since then due to left elbow tendinitis. That is an injury that is tough to come back from as rest is the remedy and it took nearly two months for him to get back on track. Anderson was having a solid season up to that point and very well could finish strong but the first outing back is always a tough one.
Making matters worse is his memory of his last start against the White Sox where he yielded seven runs in five innings last August.
Daniel Hudson gets the call for Chicago and he will be looking for some redemption. He has been tagged for five runs in two of his three starts this season and that includes his last outing against the A’s in Oakland last weekend. While that is helping in driving the line the other way, it sets up great value for the home team. The potential is there as in his other start this season as well as both from last season, he allowed two runs or less and posted a 2.04 ERA in those games.
Play on American League home teams with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season but hitting .290 or better over their last 20 games. This situation is 103-56 (64.8 percent) since 1997. 10* Chicago White Sox
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT
Free Play
Play: Money Line: -101 Tampa Bay Rays
Win
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Tampa Bay is playing some great baseball once again as it has won six straight games following a four-game sweep of the Tigers to start the week. The Rays continue to keep pace in the American League East as they trail the Yankees by only two games which makes this series a big one for both sides. The Rays are now 10-1 in their last 11 home games.
New York won three of four on Cleveland as the bats came alive over the final two games after scoring just two runs in the first two games of the set. That moved the Yankees 11 games over .500 on the road but this is the first true road test in nearly a month.
Philip Hughes is 12-3 on the season which is a façade in my opinion and has been most of the season. He started the season by barely making the rotation but began very strong by allowing two runs or fewer in his first six starts while also tossing seven quality outings in his first 10 starts. It has been a struggle since as he has a 6.26 ERA over his last seven starts.
The reason he is 12-3 is that he has the best run support in baseball as he is getting 7.3 rpg.
Wade Davis gets the call for the Rays and while it has been a tough season for him, he has been pitching much better of late. He has allowed three runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts and has posted a 3.83 ERA over that span. Most importantly, the Rays have won his last four start.
Tampa Bay is 14-1 at home over the last three seasons when hosting a team with a winning percentage of .620 or better. 3* Tampa Bay Rays
Matt is split in MLB on Thursday but splits are good when you bet underdogs as he WON with +135 Washington! He is back on Friday with just one report but it is a MASSIVE TOP PLAY! This is his first Enforcer play since going 2-1 with these GEMS last weekend and this one is backed by a SENSATIONAL 103-56 (64.8%) Power Situation! Head into the weekend with a BIG WIN!
Fargo’s **10** MLB TOP PLAY ENFORCER **66% ANGLE**
Matt had his 10* Enforcer nullified Friday due to a pitching trade but he moves on tonight with another! He is back on Saturday with just one report but it is a MASSIVE TOP PLAY! This will be his first Enforcer play since going 2-1 with these GEMS last weekend and this one is backed by a SENSATIONAL 33-17 (66%) Power Situation! Start off the weekend with a BIG WIN!
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The SEC has long been considered the toughest conference in football and rightfully so. It has produced the last three National Champions, Florida twice with LSU sandwiched in-between. The SEC leads all conferences in all-time titles with 17 and there will be teams looking to add to that this season and with legitimate shots in doing so. The leader of the pack is defending champion Florida who is ... read more
As strong as the Big XII South is, the North is just the opposite. There are good teams within the division no doubt but it is unlikely that any team will be able to challenge the top teams in the South as the top team in this division would finish either fourth or fifth in the other division. It looks as though it may be a two-team race in the North between Kansas and Nebraska although Colorado c ... read more
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St Louis Cardinals (MLB) - Jul 31, 2010 7:15 PM EDT
Play: Money Line: 182 Pittsburgh Pirates Play Title:
This is a great value spot for the Pirates. Pittsburgh is having yet another horrible season as it is a miserable 30 games under .500 including 27 games under .500 on the road. The Pirates need to be played in spots and this is one of those spots as they are catching a great number. They were handcuffed by Chris Carpenter last night in a tough one-run loss but the offense gets it going again tonight.
The Cardinals are doing nothing overly spectacular as they are 3-5 over their last eight games but they are playing excellent at home and that is driving this number for the most part. On the contrarian side, the pitching matchup favors neither team and that basically turns this game into a toss up and at the crazy odds, St. Louis cannot be played.
Jeff Suppan has been safe to play against this season as his teams are 3-6 in his nine starts including the Cardinals going 2-5 in his seven starts since coming over from Milwaukee. He has a 6.18 ERA overall and is 0-6 so nothing has been going right. He did post a quality outing in his last home start but gave it right back next time out against the Cubs and I see more of that taking place here.
Suppan had a 5.40 ERA against the Pirates in three starts last season.
The Pirates Daniel McCutchen has been recalled from Class AAA Indianapolis to start Saturday and they are hoping for better results than his first time up. He has a horrendous 8.58 ERA in six starts and one relief appearance but some time down in the Minors has done some good. He went 2-6 with a 3.62 ERA in his last nine Triple-A starts so the production is definitely there.
Pittsburgh also falls into a solid underdog situation. Play against National League favorites with a money line of -110 or higher with a starting pitcher whose ERA is between 5.20 and 5.70 on the season after two straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs. This situation is 33-19 (63.5 percent) over the last five seasons and it is even stronger than that based on the underdog aspect. 3* Pittsburgh Pirates
Matt had his 10* Enforcer nullified Friday due to a pitching trade but he moves on tonight with another! He is back on Saturday with just one report but it is a MASSIVE TOP PLAY! This will be his first Enforcer play since going 2-1 with these GEMS last weekend and this one is backed by a SENSATIONAL 33-17 (66%) Power Situation! Start off the weekend with a BIG WIN!
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Matt Fargo Rating System
Rating Scale
Play Rating will be displayed in each title since no one rates games the same.
**10**
This is the “BEST of the Best” …These ratings are not frequent as they are THE TOP PLAY of all TOP PLAYS released. There is nothing higher than this.
**9**
This is the “BEST of the Rest”…these plays are just a notch below the **10** Reports and narrowly missed out on “Best of the Best” status.
**8**
This is a high-tiered TOP PLAY release and these are not released very often. These are equivalent to Game of the Month selections.
**7**
This is a low-tiered TOP PLAY release and these are released less frequently than his **8** Reports. These are equivalent to Game of the Week selections.
**5**
This is a regular selection and should be played at your normal wagering level. The majority of releases as part of a big card will be based on this unit.
**3**
This is a Low Rated selection equivalent to a Free Play. All Free plays will have a rating as no ‘opinions’ are released.
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